Pipe Down Back There
No Husker fan walked away happy with what they saw against USC Saturday night. The Huskers could neither run the ball nor stop the run – two pretty big keys to winning football games. But the Huskers were facing the top-ranked team in the country. How did Florida look against Nebraska in the 1996 Fiesta Bowl or Tennessee against Nebraska in the 1998 Orange Bowl? A lot like Nebraska did two nights ago. Each team went on to win a national championship the following season. Losing badly to a great team does not spell the end of a program.
Yet some Nebraska fans would have you believe that. The same fans that scream that Callahan needs a “signature win� - now. They sound like the child in the back of the car that keeps asking “Are we there yet?� To them I say, “Pipe down back there! You'll know when we get there�.
The Rearview Mirror
Here's some quick history. Tom Osborne's final four teams went 47-2 (a 95.9% winning percentage). Over Frank Solich's first 49 games Nebraska went a very healthy 42-7 (a 85.7% winning percentage). Over his next (and final) 28 games, Solich went 16-12 (a 57.1% winning percentage). If there's a better definition of “gravitating toward mediocrity�, I haven't seen it.
Bill Callahan got off to a shaky start trying to run a West Coast Offense with option personnel, producing a 10-10 record over his first 20 games (a 50.0% winning percentage). In the 20 games since, he's gone 14-6 (a 70% winning percentage) which is noticeably better than Solich's performance over his last 28 games. In fact, it looks like he's “gaining on a national championship� to borrow a phrase.
The Road Ahead
But Nebraska's not there yet. Probably not until they roll out a line with a mature D.J. Jones, Jaivorio Burkes, Bryce Givens, Dan Hoch, and Baker Steinkuhler will they be able to steamroll ranked teams the way USC did on Saturday. And to be able to stuff the run like USC, Nebraska will need more help from the front seven like they could get from Cameron Meredith, Will Compton, Shaun Mohler, Sean Fisher and Eric Harper.
Of course, those guys are all pretty young which means the cries of “Are we there yet?� will continue for a while. But in the meantime, there are still positives to take from Saturday night. Sam Keller showed he is ready for prime time. Mo' Purify looked his best since Colorado a year ago, and both Todd Peterson and Nate Swift played well. Cody Glenn was healthy enough to contribute (which will mean a lot over the course of a long season). The Nebraska secondary held the Trojans to 4.8 yards per passing attempt which you'd take against anybody.
The next three games are critical. Ball State is no bye week coming off a win over a bowl team from a year ago. Likewise, Iowa State – the laughingstock of the Big 12 after two weeks – upended the Hawkeyes on Saturday to serve notice that they are not to be taken lightly. Both games should be a good chance for the Huskers to work on running the ball and stopping the run. Then comes the “real� big game for the Huskers at Missouri. If the Huskers sit at 5-1 at that point, all of the whining about USC should fade a bit. It would be kind of like having a DVD player in the minivan for the kids.
Saturday was a bad night, but let's not make things worse by screaming the sky is falling. Drink your sippy cup. We'll get there.
9/17/2007
The lid came off my sippy cup and I just spilled what was in it all over the back seat. Can we stop at McDonalds?
9/17/2007
Great Post Steve. Huskers fans need to check themselves before they go throwing their team under a bus.
Did everyone really expect us to come out of non-conference play without a loss? I mean REALLY??? Of course we thought they could win, we are Husker fans. The USC game is not nearly as important as the conference games coming up; this is when we need to be a Husker fans the most.
Now quit crying and Husker Up! Keep your eye on the prize—San Antonio or Bust!
9/17/2007
Last night during the Sunday night NFL game between NE and SD, I kinda felt like I was watching the USC v NE game all over. 1 team clearly dominating the other.
But not once did I ever hear the idea that San Diego lacked the ‘talent’ to compete. It had everything to do with execution and coaching.
Bo Pelini made a top 10 defense out of players from a period often referred to as ‘slow’ and ‘lacking talent’.
USC has more depth, no doubt. But Nebraska has players. USC also gets there players in the right places to make plays.
I’m worried the same cannot be said for Nebraska.
9/17/2007
Great post! This was obviously a hard loss for those of us in Husker Nation. But, from where I was sitting, USC looked pretty darn good. Sure our defense showed signs of problems, but they are the number one team in the nation for a reason. In the whole scheme of what we need to accomplish this game really doesn’t mean a whole lot. Did people honestly think we would win a national championship? It will happen in due time. For now, let’s keep our heads in the game (and in the stands, those of you at the game know what I’m talking about) and our eyes on San Antonio!
9/17/2007
Like I said in a previous post, I don’t won’t a continual case of the “next year’s”. I fear that we will only be able to win the big games if we have such superior talent that it overcomes the coaching shortfalls of this staff. This may or may not happen in the time until Callahan’s contract runs out. This isn’t a time to try and pump the team up - this is the right time for introspection. They say coaches learn over their years, but some of the biggest eureka moments can appear in a week. Let’s hope that Coach C has got some time to think about what went wrong.
9/17/2007
“Drink your sippy cup.” WOW - I can’t stop laughing, since my 18-month old THREW her sippy at me this morning as we were driving. Nice. That’s my girl…
Seriously, Steve, thanks for helping folks to “turn the page” after a tough weekend.
We’re not there yet, by any stretch. But, progress is sometimes very ugly.
9/17/2007
Are you Red Reign on the HP boards? If so, glad to know that I can respond to you here - I’ve been lurking there for ages.
Anyways, great post here and I couldn’t agree more.
9/17/2007
Drew - I can say for sure that Steve is not Red Reign on the HP boards.
However, Red Reign is a confirmed “friend of BRN”, who reads our stuff often and distributes much of Steve’s work on boards with links.
Great compliment for BRN for you to associate Reign with us, since that person is a great poster.
9/17/2007
Check - thanks.
Yeah, this loss bugs me. But it bugs me less because of the final score, and more because of the reaction to the final score. Yeah, Nebraska got taken to the woodshed, and things didn’t look good. But like, the original post says, sometimes good teams get blown out. In fact, I think that if Bill Callahan had been able to assemble a team that could defeat USC in 4 years, he’d be twice the genius that people claim he’s not. Bottom line is that we have not yet seen Callahan at his best yet. But we’ve seen enough to know that this team might be scary good in 3-4 years.
The worst part is, if someone Bill Callahan got fired, then what? Do the people calling for Callahan’s head have a better idea? Do you think Urban Meyer is going to have a change of heart and leave Gainsville to come to Lincoln? We have a coach with tremendous experience who WANTS to be there. If we run him out of town, it’ll be 20 years before we’re a top program again, not 3-4.
9/17/2007
I really thought before this game that we had a good chance to win. I felt that we matched up better this year than last year. I felt the whole key was putting pressure on Booty. Assuming they could stop the run. Obviously I have no clue. I just want us to compete in every game like we did in the first half. I don’t expect us to go unbeaten every year. Even at 21-10 I still felt we could win that game. This is a good post from Steve and everything will be better after this week rolls through. I will be chearing on the Huskers once again this weekend, after all, it’s in my blood. Now fill my sippy cup with some BIG RED kool-aid.
9/17/2007
Lost by 18 but we gave them 14-21 by some pretty ugly turnovers. Anyway, the USC game SHOULD NOT be a measuring stick to use for NU’s pregress. We win the north and play in the Big 12 game (against OU) with a better record than last year. Than we are progressing which I know we are.
9/17/2007
I agree, we are raising the bar a little too high. Progress would be for us to win the north and “hopefully” win the big 12 game and go to a BCS bowl. this is a tough season with a schedule that is not very forgiving. All the tough North games are away like Kansas, Miss and Col. We go to Texas. But I think we win these games because we are better than last year and we are better than the team that showed up on Sat. night. Even though that was the time if any to shine, we didn’t.
9/17/2007
If we run him out of town, it’ll be 20 years before we’re a top program again, not 3-4…..
For how many seasons will this be the response to a lack of improvement? I don’t feel the need or desire to start listing the shortcomings, but, the bottom line is that this team is not improving and when you are going the wrong way the only practical action is to change direction. There is no pleasure watching the Huskers develop into just another mediocre passing team with no real identity or strength.
9/17/2007
You want to hire a new coach every four years, and fire him for not beating a #1 team? That is going to make us look more like Kansas, not SC.
Bill Callahan needs more than 4 years to turn this program around. It’s pretty clear. Personally, I say we give him ample time. 6-8 years, min. The next time Nebraska fires a coach, it had better have everyone behind that move, or it’ll be even harder to bring in another coach. You think firing a 9-3 coach makes other prospects frightened? How about firing a coach that had made steady (even if slow) improvement every year on campus?
9/17/2007
Good article.
I’m still kinda depressed following the SC game. I avowed yesterday to stay off the boards for at least a few days…..so, here I am again: “I JUST CAN’T QUIT YOU BIG RED!”
After Sat. night’s confrontation with REALITY, any Big Red fan can only frustrate him/herself for some years to come by thinking in terms of a NC anytime soon. Ain’t guh-n ‘appen. Maybe expecting to start finishing regularly in the 10-15 range is more realistic.
It suddenly looks like there are no gimmes on the schedule anymore, with the possible exception of Ball St. Psych-clones shouldn’t be a major prob either, but ya never know when Coz will be off on his blue tooth to Misty’s when he should be coaching a game. If that guy ever learns to consistently ‘wipe front to back’ his feel for the game might improve significantly; o.k., that wasn’t at all nice. Actually, last year’s D was pretty lock down against the run. But Sat. night’s showing was just inexcusable. Put it all together, already!
I thought Keller played very well FTMP, and the offense showed an aggressive passing attack. I saw Glenn just totally clueless on picking up the blitz a few times which is a bit unusual.
Que sera, sera, hombres/mujeres.
It’s probably not going to be until the later stages of the Gabbert era that NE will be a legit NC contender, so as suggested above, enjoy the ride folks.
BTW, I saw on another board that ‘Ozzie’ Osborne pretty much lost to every team rated above NE for the vast majority of his tenure. Not ‘til the mid 90’s monsta teams did that trend turn around. So don’t go there.
Here’s to hoping we win the North, but I sure wouldn’t want to play the Sooners in a CC game—OUCH!
9/17/2007
Nice Post Steve. Would you let an SC fan chime in? I am a loooong time SC season ticket holder (with many sad sad seasons prior to Pete) who lives and dies with the Trojans. However, I have always pulled for the Huskers as well since the 70’s. As a kid, I liked reading about the run game and smashmouth style of play. I just wanted to help put things into perspective for the Husker nation. You have had many years in the spot light as the top team in the nation with a stroried tradition similar to SC. Both teams have gone through rebuilding years and this happens to be yours. Nebraska just happens to be that you are working your way back to the top. Compare both teams from 1990-2000. Nebraska 120-18-1 (3 NC’s) and SC 76-54-3 (with bowl losses to TCU and TCU0 and a joke in the Pac-10 let alone the national stage). This just happens to be SC’s run since 2001 and Pete Carroll. When Pete came on board, we thought here we go again, another Paul Hackett. We got lucky with a fast turnaround. We don’t take this for granated, becuase it took a long time to get here (1978 was last NC) and we know it will not last forever. Nebraska fans, don’t get too down, you will be in the NC hunt in 2-3 years and may even put a beating on SC in a future bowl game. Kick some Sooner and Longhorn tail this year. I hope you win the North and are the Big-12 Champions. Best of luck from a West Coast SC Fan.
9/17/2007
Thanks a lot, Jason. Enjoy USC’s success this season - I’m sure it’s going to be a lot of fun to watch. I was rooting for an OU/LSU BCS Title game, but now I really think that the USC Offensive Line will win them every game they play this year.
9/17/2007
Darren,
I was thinking the same thing, after the game. But in the end you don’t loose 49-31 and give up 300 yards on the ground at HOME. I am a Billy C fan, but if the lines are only that good, it is going to be a long season.
9/17/2007
To Jason SC fan….
Thank you for your post. I was thinking about that last night and I was looking at some of the results for USC in the 90’s and early 2000’s. What we need to realize is that we got beat by a team that at the beginning of the year was by far the overwhelming #1 in the polls and I think Saturday night showed us why. USC did to us what we did to Florida in ‘95 and Tennessee in ‘97. The USC defense has 10 of 11 starters back from last season and we didn’t get to see Ellis last year so that was a difference. That guy is a man up front.
Our offense actually played pretty well other than some turnovers and a not so good rushing attack. Defensively, that was some of the worst tackling and angles I’ve seen by a NU team. In my opinion it starts with coaching and I think Cosgrove is not really earning his keep. I know he arrived here through the Buddy System but someone needs to step in and say enough is enough. At least with Pelini our guys played with fire and emotion and I just don’t see that out there right now.
9/17/2007
Dave Canny:
You posted: “I don’t feel the need or desire to start listing the shortcomings, but, the bottom line is that this team is not improving and when you are going the wrong way the only practical action is to change direction”
Do you REALLY think that this team is not better then it was 3 years ago? Have you REALLY forgot so soon? Please back up your comment, because we didn’t beat the #1 team in the nation?
9/17/2007
I won’t speak for Dave, but overall, this Husker team is NOT better than it was 3 years ago. Offensively, we are much, much better. Not where we’d like to be, but much much, much better.
Defensively, we are a mere shadow of our former self. 2003 was a top 10 defense full of playmakers that are now playing on Sundays in the NFL. No such players exist on our roster anymore. This might be the worst Husker defense in 40 years. The dropoff on defense is the reason why the Huskers are NOT better than in 2003.
9/17/2007
Husker Mike,
You’re referring to a team (the 2003 squad) that gave up 41 points to an unranked Missouri team, 353 rushing yards and 484 total yards to a sixteenth-ranked Texas team and 561 yards to an unranked Kansas State team in Lincoln. The USC game may not have gone better than those did, but at least they are a top-ranked team and not a second or third-tier unit pushing Nebraska around as was the case in 2003.
9/17/2007
Let’s put those games in perspective:
Missouri: 4 turnovers inside the Husker 10 yard line. That’s putting your defense behind the eight-ball. Not the defense’s fault at all.
Texas: I see NFL teams struggling to contain Vince Young and Cedric Benson.
Kansas State: Calling KSU “unranked” is selective memory. They were conference champions, demolishing an Oklahoma team that was getting mention as the latest “greatest ever” team.
I’ll give you some 4th quarter scores in those games:
NU 24, Missouri 14
Texas 17, Nebraska 7
KSU 17, Nebraska 7
Now I give you another score…middle of the 3rd quarter, when USC called off the dogs:
USC 42, Nebraska 10
If you want to argue that the 2003 defense melted down in the 4th quarter a couple of times, fine. If you want to argue that USC is a great team, fine. But the 2003 Huskers were in all of those games in the 4th quarter. Last Saturday, Nebraska put 21 points up in the 4th quarter on USC’s third and fourth stringers to make it look a little less disastrous.
9/17/2007
Husker Mike,
There’s nothing selective about it. That Kansas State team was not ranked when Nebraska played them. They climbed into the rankings after that game. Which of those teams (none of which finished in the top ten) compares to the consensus #1? None of them. They all would lose (and probably badly) to USC. Especially if USC got an extra week to prepare. Yes the Huskers turned it over against Missouri. USC also got 14 points off NU turnovers.
If you think wearing down against teams outside the top ten is worlds better than being outplayed throughout by the top team, that’s your prerogative. But it’s hardly an open and shut case.
It was the Husker defense that sealed the deal against the defending ACC champs two weeks ago and that held a bowl team from 2006 to three points in the opener.
I’m not calling this a great defense, but neither am I giving up all hope at this point. The 2001 squad won 11 games in the same year it gave up 62 to fourteenth ranked Colorado. It’s not who you are on your worst day that matters, it’s who you are most days.
9/18/2007
Wow these posts are the most positive that I have read following the big game. I do wonder about the defense. They seemed so unprepared. If I had a nickel for every time last night that I yelled tackle him…Cos’s d’s just don’t feel like blackshirts. It seems so reactive and not acting. I understood last year that we had a weak secondary so we laid off on the blitzing. But now it seems that the back 4 not the front seven are our strength. I am bummed about the whole thing.
9/18/2007
When you get an entirely new coaching staff and completely change the offensive and defensive schemes of the team, it takes more than 4 years. The team is progressing for sure. The talent coming in is getting better and better every year. We are a year or two away from what I would expect a Nebraska team to be. This year our schedule is not real favorable but you take what you get because not every year it is going to be favorable.
Look at how long USC was down before they became another dynasty these last few years.
Although no fans have much patience, don’t expect this team to beat the #1 team or be a National Champion this year. We are not there yet and it is that simple.
9/18/2007
IF ANYTHING POSITIVE CAME OUT OF THIS WHOLE THING. WE HAVE THE BEST FANS IN THE COUNTRY.
THERE WERE MANY CELEBRATIES ON HAND IN LINCOLN AND THEY ALL RAVED ON THE NU FANS ABOUT HOW CLASSY THEY WERE. DID NOT BOO THE OTHER TEAM. ETC, ETC.
9/18/2007
Steve,
I here what you’re saying, but a good team just shouldn’t have ‘worse’ days like NE’s D had Sat. night. I normally haven’t been a basher of these coaches, but I’m back on the fence with Coz. And, not to go down Pelini Lane too far, but I think we all can admit that watching his ‘03 NE D playing left one very impressed considering what he had to work with—he DID have Demorrio Williams(Octo should be playing that well), though. Pelini’s Ds hit hard and are disciplined, similar to OU, and I haven’t seen that from any Coz D.
9/18/2007
Ze,
I think the coaches are owning that mistake. In Callahan’s press conference today he admitted that they probably should have done more work in full pads since the season started, more work on fundamental techniques, and that more time of the top units facing each other would have been helpful.
Look at Ohio State a year ago, they go 11-0 out of the gate and held teams to an average of under 8 points. Then they give up 39 to Michigan in the win and 41 to Florida. So did they have a good defense or not? Or was it just against top tier teams, they struggled?
I’d call that defense very good, but just not national championship caliber. If the Huskers put together a bunch of games where they held the opposition to an average of 10 points (like they did in the first two games), I’d be pretty happy about it. Let’s not lose all faith based on one game.
10/7/2007
Can I get out of the car now? After the Missouri game I’m car sick and wanna yak all over this article.