Nebraska Big Plays Put Broncos Away

For the Huskers, big plays were the name of the game on Saturday. On offense, it was Joe Ganz piling on the passing numbers and making plays with his feet. On special teams, it was Alex Henery hitting all four of his 44 yard attempts and all of his extra points to continue his perfect kicking record. On defense, it was Cody Glenn. Period. End of Sentence. 12 tackles, 3 for loss, 3 pass breakups, 1 forced fumble, and a lot of fist pumping were what he brought to the table against Western Michigan. We in the blogging business call that “Bringing Your A-Game.�

First of all, let's get this out of the way: the Western Michigan Broncos are going to be a bowl eligible team this year. They returned 10 starters on defense and have a highly touted passing attack. The Hiller to Ledbetter connection is likely going to be the best in the MAC conference this year. Yes, they are a non-conference opponent. But they also faced a Missouri team last year, playing to a 52-24 loss. So for those fairweather Husker fans, please realize that this should not have been a 70-0 type of game.

To look at the big plays we had, I broke down the yardage into some charts. If we look at the plays from 1 through 67, a pattern does not seem to emerge.
wmuplaysinorder.jpg

However, when we look at the chart from least to most number of yards in a play, we start to see something interesting.
wmuplaysbyyardage.jpg

(note: I gave a zero for no gain rushes, incomplete passes, and interceptions)
The Huskers had 11 plays between 10-20 yards and 8 plays with more than 20. That's over 25% of our plays that gained enough for a first down and better! All I heard about last year was how big plays made all the difference. On defense, the Broncos were able to run 74 plays to our 67. However, the Nebraska defense was up to the task, holding them to only 7 plays between 10-20 yards and only 2 over 20 yards. I'll take 8 big plays to 2 any game of the year.

On the other hand, it wasn't all sunshine and kittens and smiley faces all day. There were some (fixable) mistakes that need to be taken care of before getting to conference play. Offensively, our running game was a disappointment. Roy Helu, Jr. had the most luck in terms of rushing yards, but that could have had more to do with fresh legs late in the game than anything else. They offensive linemen are putting on a strong face, but I really think that the shuffling is affecting the chemistry, a critical component of a good running line. Expect it to settle down in the next few weeks without further issues. We'll have our 200 yard rushing game in the next week or two.

The adjustments made by Bo Pelini were evident in terms of getting the penalties under control in the second half. Anthony West practically handed Western Michigan their first touchdown. Fortunately, those types of mistakes are easy to avoid in the future. The mistakes that worried me were seeing O'Hanlon out of position or playing catch-up on at least three plays. Looking at the stats from above, it didn't appear to burn us. I'm hoping we don't have another Pat Ricketts on our hands here.

Overall, I'm just being a little picky. I needed to find something good and something not so good from the game, but I was trying not to just be “a fan.� I am very happy with the win and see much potential for a bowl-bound team this year. We're still a (not so) far cry from championship games, but this is a pretty solid beginning to the Bo Pelini era.

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Comments 8 comments so far

I would like to make my yearly plea of Big 12 teams not playing in the types of games like you just broke down, Tom, and the game that my team played in (Tennessee Chat). Nothing real good comes from these games, really. If you lose one, you look so bad (and probably are) or if you have a second half let down, ala OU, then you look un motivated and sloppy. These games are sometimes a lot closer than we would like to admit. Ask Michigan about playing cupcakes. Then the were is the aspect of injuries. Wasted talent just to get a warmup or “feel good about your self” game under your belt. It just doesn’t make a lot of sense, really. Wouldn’t you rather lose a game to a USC than to Western Michigan or a Tennessee Chatanooga? We as fans should expect more from our respective universities than the humiliation of a lesser team, or is it really all about “the win”?

Thanks for the data, Tom.

I think the bottom line is simply this - big plays lead to or create scoring. NU had a good day for big plays on offense, and scored well.

I don’t know how many times I’ve heard NFL analyst Ron Jaworski preach about the need for “explosive plays out of the passing game”. NU appears to have that aspect well covered right now.

IF they can blend in a solid yards-per-carry average while running the ball, they will have an offense capable of salting games away in the later stages of the game. And THAT can be the difference between a conference champion (like OU) and a pretender to the crown (like, say, TTech).

Nice data Tom. I’m a sucker for a good graph.

OU7Times, don’t expect the trend of non-conference cupcakes to end until strength of schedule is a meaningful component of the BCS.

I don’t see too much wrong with playing Western Michigan.  In Bill Cubit’s 4th year, he’s now 20-16.  He took them to a bowl game in 2006 and will likely return to one this year.  They beat Iowa last year to knock them out of going to a bowl.  They’re just good enough to be a little scary when you think about the havoc MAC teams can cause.  I do, however, have a problem with our next two opponents who have are a combined 25-48 over the last four years.  You can thank Steve Pedersen for that scheduling.  So yeah, I don’t like creampuffs that much, but the Broncos are better than you think.

I do believe that strength of schedule WILL become a factor in the BCS. I’ll say within 5 years. Honestly, Jason, how do you really feel about the subject? Imagine, what would be said IF Nebraska did lose to a real nobody? The first thing fans would say is somebody has to be accountable for this. Don’t get me wrong, it could very well happen to OU. Just seems to be a dangerous situation.

I don’t disagree OU. I’d much rather watch competitive games. As soon as teams are rewarded for it in the rankings, I’m sure we’ll see tougher opponents.

With talent levels in a constant state of flux, I’d make a rule where BCS Schools only get 3/4 credit for a win over a non-BCS school, and half credit for a win over a FCS school, for my strenth of schedule formula. Scheduling is done up to 10 years in advance. While we can’t know how strong an opponant will be that far out, we would have a starting point.

Thoughts?

GBR

Bob

One of the points is that teams tend to get sloppy in the second half, especially after dominating the first half.  I think coaches start experimenting with different schemes and player groupings in these cases.  So, many times these games don’t reflect what a team is truly capable of. 

I think in our case, Pelini held off his blitz packages the second half, maybe to see what type of rush the front four could produce by themselves, or how the LB’s looked dropping in coverage, or maybe to test the secondary a little to see how they would perform (when a QB had time to pick his targets).  It seemed that the rush from the front four was pretty solid, but the secondary cetainly made mistakes.  All I can say, is that I am glad it was W. Michigan on Saturday and not Mizzou. 

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